NFL picks, predictions in opposition to unfold Week 5: Chiefs outgun Payments; Seahawks, Packers, Cowboys keep sizzling

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Week 4 was extra like for our NFL picks and predictions in opposition to the unfold. It nonetheless wasn’t smashing, however getting effectively above .500 is a win for any week.

There’s extra info and knowledge factors obtainable for all 32 groups as lots of them forge their true identities for the 2021 season. Some, nonetheless, nonetheless stay tough to learn due to accidents and different variables.

The one factor we will do is attempt to use all the things extra to our benefit to make higher recreation selections in opposition to the quantity because the motion progresses. Here is hoping Week 5 will give us the specified outcomes once more from the method:

(Sport odds courtesy of FanDuel)

NFL POWER RANKINGS:
Cardinals fly to top; Packers, Cowboys, Seahawks flex; Titans fall

(Getty Photos)

NFL picks in opposition to the unfold for Week 5

  • Sport of the Week: Payments at Chiefs (-3, 56.5 o/u)

Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

The Payments’ protection has seemed nice this season nevertheless it hasn’t confronted a quarterback of Patrick Mahomes’ caliber, residence or away. The Chiefs have discovered a balanced offense and the massive move performs are flowing once more to Tyreek Hill as groups proceed to select their poison between him and Travis Kelce. Mahomes did not like being below .500 and would not wish to be there once more. The Payments’ offense additionally will trigger loads of issues for the Chiefs’ protection with Josh Allen taking part in effectively and spreading the ball round. Mahomes will not be having a second consecutive loss at residence whereas Buffalo is due for a little bit of a street cooldown in prime time.

Decide: Chiefs win 34-27 and canopy the unfold.

  • Sport of Midweek: Rams (-1.5, 54.5 o/u) at Seahawks

Thursday 8:20 p.m. ET, Fox and NFL Community

The Rams’ protection sprung some main leaks in opposition to the flexibility and multiplicity of the Cardinals’ offense. They’ll get a lot of the identical round Russell Wilson with bonus insider information of the scheme from his offensive coordinator Shane Waldron, a Sean McVay protege. The Matthew Stafford hype practice received slightly derailed final week whereas Wilson’s is all the time chugging like a locomotive. The Rams can comprise D.Ok. Metcalf with Jalen Ramsey however the Seahawks will get large performs elsewhere as in addition they run effectively. The Rams can exploit the Seahawks’ protection in lots of locations too. This seems like a ultimate possession recreation within the fourth quarter, so aspect with Wilson at residence to be the hero.

Decide: Seahawks win 31-27.

  • Rivalry of the Week: Giants at Cowboys (-7.5, 50.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

The Giants’ offense is determining extra issues with Daniel Jones, simply as former Cowboys coach Jason Garrett was getting on the recent seat as offensive coordinator. Jones is doing his finest to show he is a keeper by displaying he is a lot improved with higher ability assist. Dak Prescott, nonetheless, is within the complete zone and Ezeklel Elliott has gone again to being a dashing beast at residence. Jones will get extra assist from Saquon Barkley and his wideout so New York hangs round, however Dallas will maintain flexing because the clear NFC East favourite.

Decide: Cowboys win 31-24 however fail to cowl the unfold.

(Getty Photos)

  • Lock of the Week: Titans (-4.5, 48.5 o/u) at Jaguars

Sunday 1 p.m. ET,  CBS

The Titans didn’t play effectively in opposition to the Jets with Derrick Henry being their solely supply of offense, which additional uncovered all their move protection points. After the massive street upset in New York, Tennessee will not let that occur once more in Jacksonville. Mike Vrabel will get his staff again on monitor whereas City Meyer, coping with some bother private developments, will battle to encourage his staff the identical means. Make the most of the low early quantity because the Titans are sure to rebound and the Jaguars will probably be nonetheless hungover from blowing an enormous lead in Week 4.

Decide: Titans win 27-21 and canopy the unfold. 

  • Upset of the Week: Eagles (+3.5, 45 o/u) over Panthers

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Eagles needs to be higher than 1-3. The Panthers are a bit inflated at 3-1. Jalen Hurts has been taking part in effectively in passing downfield and operating for chunks when wanted, however he wants to chop down on errors and will use extra assist from the standard dashing assault, given Carolina’s protection is most weak there. The Cowboys’ tight ends triggered issues for the Panthers and the Eagles can do the identical with Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz. It comes right down to which stout defensive entrance will management the motion vs. two weakened offensive strains. Though Sam Darnold has been a machine dashing for TDs, Hurts’ elusiveness provides Philadelphia the sting to flee with victory.

Decide: Eagles win 23-20.

  • Jets at Falcons (-3.5, 43.5 o/u) in London

Sunday 9:30 a.m. ET, NFL Community

Robert Saleh and Arthur Smith are each on the board with victories as promising rookie coaches. Saleh’s defensive affect is being felt on the Jets, whereas Smith is beginning to determine learn how to get the perfect out of Matt Ryan and the Falcons’ distinctive offensive weapons, together with Cordarrelle Patterson. Rookie Zach Wilson can keep sizzling in Tottenham in opposition to one other weak move protection, however this is also an opportunity for Atlanta to do effectively with Smith’s most well-liked operating throughout the pond.

Decide: Falcons win 27-20 and canopy the unfold.

(Getty Photos)

  • Dolphins at Buccaneers (-10.5, 47.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Dolphins are displaying a special form of offense with Jacoby Brissett and the passing recreation has immediately been competent because the operating recreation has light. Nonetheless, their group of huge receivers and tight finish Mike Gesicki can do solely a lot on the opposite aspect of Brady. Brian Flores can scheme his move protection effectively a la Invoice Belichick, however for a second straight week, the Bucs will lean effectively on Leonard Fournette, Ronald Jones and the operating recreation with extra large sacks and takeaways from the protection.

Decide: Buccaneers win 30-13 and canopy the unfold.

  • Saints (-1.5, 43.5 o/u) at Washington

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Washington’s protection has been a serious disappointment all-around however will get a break right here in opposition to a staff with a restricted and inconsistent offense round Alvin Kamara. New Orleans will proceed to toggle Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill at quarterback primarily based on scenario. The Saints’ protection might be exploited loads with Antonio Gibson and Terry McLaurin and a constructive recreation script is required to rev up a dormant WFT move rush. Taylor Heinicke turns in one other profitable efficiency at residence to push his staff above .500 whereas the Saints drop under that even mark.

Decide: Washington wins 23-20.

  • Lions at Vikings (-7.5, 49.5 o/u) 

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Lions have been doing their finest to play laborious and get a win however their protection retains going additional within the tank and now the accidents are beginning to pile up, too. The Vikings prefer to assault unhealthy groups with Kirk Cousins and are due for an additional domination with its protection taking part in extra the best way Mike Zimmer likes. Jared Goff is in for an additional tough afternoon with restricted receivers vs. Cousins, who will get to do no matter he desires with Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen.

Decide: Vikings win 34-17 and canopy the unfold.

(Getty Photos)

  • Broncos at Steelers (-1.5, 40.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Steelers desperately want a win at 1-3 and sadly it takes a staff with a worse QB scenario than theirs with Ben Roethlisberger. Enter the Broncos, who would possibly want to start out Drew Lock over a concussed Teddy Bridgewater in opposition to a difficult move protection in a possible one-dimensional assault. Pittsburgh has to win video games with D and grinding floor recreation with rookie Najee Harris and this battle of attrition is simply what it wants at residence.

Decide: Steelers win 17-14 and canopy the unfold.

  • Packers (-3.5, 49.5 o/u) at Bengals

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Packers know they are going to have their arms full with one other 3-1 staff from the opposite North. Their move rush could be down two Smiths and shutdown cornerback Jaire Alexander (shoulder) will probably be an enormous absence in opposition to Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd. They might want to win this with Aaron Rodgers outdueling Joe Burrow vs. the Bengals’ cornerbacks. Rodgers will get slightly extra from his fellow Aaron (Jones) operating than Burrow will get from his fellow Joe (Mixon) to win on the street.

Decide: Packers win 27-24 however fail to cowl the unfold.

  • Patriots (-9.5, 39.5 o/u) at Texans

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Following the revenge recreation in opposition to Brady, Belichick will get to arrange his move protection for an additional rookie quarterback, Davis Mills. After some pregame pleasantries together with his former personnel colleague Nick Caserio, the coach will make it tough on the struggling Mills whereas additionally containing his go-to man, former Patriots receiver Brandin Cooks. New England’s personal assured rookie QB, Mac Jones, turns in one other robust efficiency and this time is rewarded with a definitive victory.

Decide: Patriots win 24-7 and canopy the unfold.

(Getty Photos)

  • Bears at Raiders (-5.5, 45.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

The Bears are an offensive work in progress and are taking part in video games with their beginning quarterback choice. Their protection has been nice making performs at instances and leaky at different instances. Chicago has traditional inconsistency at 2-2 however have a number of ability gamers to trigger Las Vegas issues, particularly if David Montgomery (knee) would not have to miss time. The Raiders have performed effectively at residence with Derek Carr and may overachieve to the required stage on protection.

Decide: Raiders win 23-19 however fail to cowl the unfold.

  • Browns (-1, 49.5 o/u) at Chargers

Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

The Browns have one large benefit on this matchup: Their run blocking and their pair of particular backs, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. They’re constructed to assault the Chargers’ weaknesses effectively and may keep away from their strengths. The Dawg Pound additionally may have an excellent touring crowd for backup. Justin Herbert will reply with some large performs together with his prime wideouts, however Cleveland’s protection makes a key play to protect one other gritty victory late.

Decide: Browns win 24-22 and canopy the unfold.

  • 49ers at Cardinals (-4.5, 52.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

The 49ers will probably be rolling out Trey Lance full-time with Jimmy Garoppolo (calf) injured once more.The rookie first-rounder was slightly shaky with prolonged time in opposition to the Seahawks however ought to settle higher into his twin menace function for Kyle Shanahan’s offense. There’s nothing unsuitable with a locked-in Kyler Murray in Kliff Kingsbury’s offense. He is the MVP front-runner of a blooming powerhouse. The 49ers have sufficient defensive holes to suppose he’ll outlast some dazzle from Lance.

Decide: Cardinals win 31-27 however fail to cowl the unfold.

  • Colts at Ravens (-7, 48 o/u)

Monday 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Ravens are discovering their groove on offense as they’re changing into much less depending on the operating recreation round Lamar Jackson and changing into extra aggressive in getting everybody concerned within the passing recreation. The Colts are going again to their run-heavy recreation plan that includes Jonathan Taylor with Carson Wentz making clutch throws. Baltimore’s total protection, execution and effectivity is healthier and there is all the time additional fan emotion in prime time when it performs the staff from Indy that used to name Attraction Metropolis residence.

Decide: Ravens win 30-20 and canopy the unfold.

Vinnie Iyer’s 2021 picks:

  • Week 4 file in opposition to the unfold: 10-5
  • Week 4 file straight up: 12-3
  • Season ATS: 31-32
  • Season straight up: 41-22


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