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When is being picked close to the underside of the league at Media Days in the summertime not essentially a foul factor? The 2021 season.
This isn’t a bit to level out the failings of preseason rankings or predictions. On the whole, the media does its homework, data is available, and groups which might be anticipated to be good are often good and the groups which might be anticipated to battle often battle.
However as those that observe school soccer already know, September introduced a higher-than-usual quantity of upsets and sudden outcomes. Right here is one staff from every Energy 5 convention that has put collectively a surprisingly sturdy first month of the season after getting little love at Media Days.
MORE: Picks against the spread for Top 25 games
ACC: Louisville
Media Days prediction: Sixth within the ACC Coastal
September document: 3-1 (1-0)
Summer season narrative: After a promising debut season for Scott Satterfield, Louisville slipped to 4-7 (3-7 within the ACC) in 2020. Quarterback Malik Cunningham had regressed, some offensive firepower left for the NFL and Satterfield needed to write a clumsy apology letter after he clumsily interviewed with South Carolina. This system was in a little bit of disarray.
What they’ve performed: After getting smacked by Ole Miss within the season-opener, the Cardinals have gained three straight. Louisville upset UCF 42-35 in dramatic style, successful on a pick-six with 13 seconds remaining. The Playing cards then constructed a 31-7 lead at Florida State earlier than holding on for an eight-point win. Cunningham has run for eight touchdowns (fourth within the nation), thrown for 5 and has two interceptions one yr after committing 15 turnovers in 11 video games.
BIG TEN: Michigan State
Media Days prediction: Final within the Huge Ten East
September document: 4-0 (2-0), No. 17 in AP ballot
Summer season narrative: Mel Tucker took over so late within the 2020 cycle that he missed each Signing Days, then lower than a month later the sports activities world (and the remainder of the world) primarily shut down. So his 2-5 debut was not sudden. The Spartans have been in want of a major rebuild after recruiting slipped on the finish of the Mark Dantonio period, and Tucker had the rep to do it. Nevertheless it was going to take time. The 2021 season seemed prefer it was going to be an extended one.
What they’ve performed: The Spartans are 4-0, with just one cupcake on the docket. Wins over Northwestern, Miami and Nebraska have landed MSU within the high 25 with Western Kentucky up subsequent. Wake Forest switch Kenneth Walker III leads the nation at 138.5 speeding yards per recreation and quarterback Payton Thorne has been surprisingly serviceable with a 10-to-1 TD-to-INT ratio. The comeback win over Nebraska confirmed the staff’s mettle within the fourth quarter and extra time.
BIG 12: Baylor
Media Days prediction: Eighth within the Huge 12
September document: 4-0 (2-0), No. 21 in AP ballot
Summer season narrative: One other “pandemic rent,” Dave Aranda got here to Baylor and was unable to have spring drills in 2020, which contributed to a 2-7 debut season. Veteran quarterback Charlie Brewer then transferred to Utah, leaving a giant gap for brand new offensive coordinator Jeff Grimes. The protection had some expertise again, however that protection ranked No. 63 in factors allowed in 2020, so there was not overwhelming optimism on both aspect of the ball.
What they’ve performed: It wasn’t Assassin’s Row to begin the season with Texas State, Texas Southern and Kansas, however when it was time to play a Huge 12 energy the Bears have been prepared. Baylor beat Iowa State 31-29 on Saturday, denying the Cyclones a possible game-tying two-point conversion within the remaining minute. Gerry Bohanon, who had tried 38 passes in three earlier seasons, is finishing 73 p.c of his passes with seven TDs and no INTs, and he has run for 4 TDs. The schedule will get a lot harder from right here, however the Bears have some early momentum.
MORE: Where is “College GameDay” this week?
PAC-12: Oregon State
Media Days prediction: Fifth within the Pac-12 North
September document: 3-1 (1-0)
Summer season narrative: Seven consecutive shedding seasons doesn’t lend itself to optimism. One of many staff’s strengths underneath Jonathan Smith has been the speeding assault, and operating again Jermar Jefferson was misplaced to the NFL Draft. There have been some hints of progress in 2020, such because the 41-38 win over Oregon, however historical past retains expectations reasonable in Corvallis.
What they’ve performed: Oregon State fought Purdue for 4 quarters on the highway in a 30-21 opening weekend loss, however have gained three straight since. The loudest win got here Saturday in Los Angeles, the place OSU beat USC on the highway for the primary time since 1960. Likelihood Nolan, who gained the quarterback job in August when Tristan Gebbia struggled with a hamstring harm, threw 4 landing passes and the Beavers protection compelled 4 USC turnovers. Oregon State appears to be like like it will likely be a tricky out all season within the Pac-12.
SEC: Arkansas
Media Days prediction: Final within the SEC West
September document: 4-0 (1-0), No. 8 in AP ballot
Summer season narrative: Arkansas exceeded expectations in 2020 with three SEC wins after having none in 2018 and 2019 and hiring unheralded Sam Pittman simply earlier than the pandemic canceled spring apply. However the media nonetheless preferred everybody else within the SEC West in 2021 forward of the Razorbacks. Quarterback Feleipe Franks wanted to get replaced, and whereas the protection returned 9 starters it ranked No. 106 in complete protection and surrendered 50-plus factors 3 times. Pittman had made some waves on the recruiting path, however Arkansas felt a couple of years away from climbing the brutal SEC West ladder.
BENDER: Georgia ascends to No. 1 in Playoff picture
What they’ve performed: Arkansas has been the largest shock within the nation, vaulting into the High 10 after dumping each Texas and Texas A&M by double-digits. QB KJ Jefferson has been a revelation operating and throwing, and the protection has shot as much as No. 12 nationally. 4 ranked groups nonetheless stay within the remaining eight video games, beginning this weekend at No. 2 Georgia, however a spectacular September has Arkansas followers hoping their Hogs will end the season within the High 25 for the primary time since 2011.
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