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Final week: 11-5, pushing the season forecast to 18-14 by way of two weeks
All traces are from BetOnline as of 4:00 p.m. ET on 9/22
Sunday Video games
– Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5): City Meyer will be taught the exhausting approach that these Cardinals usually are not Ball State. Jacksonville’s protection continues to be on the lookout for its first takeaway of the season.
Cardinals 33, Jaguars 18
– Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-5): This recreation may legitimately determine the AFC South race. The Titans are 1-1 and will bury the more-flawed-than-advertised Colts to 0-3 with the house win right here. Between the Carson Wentz accidents, the OL woes and a secondary straight out of the Massive 12, the Colts are in deep trouble if Ryan Tannehill, A.J. Brown & Co. get it discovered. Given how the Titans have performed to date, that’s definitely not a given. Nonetheless an excellent week to make use of the Titans in your survivor fantasy recreation.
Titans 34, Colts 19
– Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions (+8): It’s straightforward to be down on my Lions, they usually stand little likelihood on this recreation with their youthful secondary and Greenback Basic extensive receiving corps. However watch T.J. Hockenson on this one. The Ravens have given up plentiful catches and yards to Darren Waller and Travis Kelce within the first two weeks, and now they draw Hockenson–who has probably the most receptions of any TE by way of two weeks. Hock would possibly put up 11 catches for 116 yards and a TD. These are two of the 5 worst move defenses within the league, so buckle up and hammer the over at 50.5!
Ravens 44, Lions 30
– Washington Soccer Staff at Buffalo Payments (-7.5): The Payments are coming off a 35-0 shutout win in Miami, and that places lots of bizarre clouds within the forecast. How a lot of that was superior protection vs. a horrible efficiency from Tua Tagovailoa and his post-injury alternative, Jacoby Brissett? How regarding is it that Josh Allen stayed in his bizarre funk even in a blowout win? Will the Payments be overconfident coming off the too-easy win? Is Soccer Staff QB Taylor Heinicke able to stressing the Payments protection?
Wager on this one at your peril…
Payments 24, Soccer Staff 17
– New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots (-3): The Saints turned in one of the best efficiency of any group in Week 1 and the worst efficiency in Week 2. New England is a nasty place to try to settle into normalcy.
Patriots 20, Saints 17
– Los Angeles Chargers at Chiefs (-6.5): Regroup and recoup week for the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes after their come-from-ahead loss on Sunday night time. The Chargers could make it very attention-grabbing in the event that they keep away from the errors that price them in their very own Week 2 loss to Dallas. The dearth of velocity within the middle-of-field protection for Kansas Metropolis (exterior of Tyrann Mathieu) is an actual drawback in opposition to guys like Austin Ekeler and even Justin Herbert on the QB scramble. However in a shootout, take the group with higher total firepower.
Chiefs 37, Chargers 31
– Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants (-3): My ideas on Matt Ryan in Atlanta are aptly summed up by a band that’s ardent Giants followers, Coheed and Cambria, of their (incredible) newest single, Shoulders,
You are going out of your approach
Simply to maintain me down
Possibly we weren’t made for one another
And I am simply the one you may maintain round
Man your personal jackhammer, man your battle stations!
Giants 28, Falcons 24
– Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns (-7): The Justin Fields period begins for Chicago. It’s not a horrible place to strive him out, with the Browns protection oddly underwhelming by way of the primary two weeks. Cleveland has but to determine a defensive identification this yr past “we’ve acquired lots of gifted guys on the sphere”. Fields can exploit that if Browns DC Joe Woods doesn’t do one thing somewhat extra proactive with guys like Myles Garrett, Jadeveon Clowney, Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, John Johnson, Denzel Ward & Co.
See? The Browns have some incredible items on protection. Time for them to assemble the puzzle…
Browns 27, Bears 20
– Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3): There have been questions on Ben Roethlisberger’s availability for this AFC North matchup all week. He’ll play, however star pass-rusher T.J. Watt has been dominated out. If Roethlisberger performs, the S
Steelers 28, Bengals 17
– Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders (-4): Our first take a look at Jacoby Brissett in Miami was not a optimistic one. And now he will get his first begin in Miami in opposition to the unbeaten Raiders, who certain don’t look like a fluke by way of two weeks. Las Vegas is superb at counter-punching and sporting the opponent out. This one would possibly finish earlier by TKO…
Raiders 30, Dolphins 12
– Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams (+1.5): In all probability one of the best recreation on the slate, with Tom Brady and the unbeaten Bucs getting an actual take a look at with the new-look Rams behind Matthew Stafford. But for all of the media focus that shall be on the quarterbacks, I believe this recreation comes all the way down to which group can extra effectively run the ball.
Speeding yards might be deceptive. They are usually evaluated by bulk numbers, however yards per carry is much extra essential than complete dashing yards. Extra to the purpose, the flexibility to successfully run the ball on first down or second-and-short is usually one of the vital telling predictors of an end result. And right here’s the shock: The Rams do that lots higher than the Buccaneers by way of two weeks. I’ll tepidly grasp my predictive hat on that.
Rams 24, Buccaneers 20
– Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings (+2): Only a hunch right here, however I’ve a tough time believing this Vikings group is dangerous sufficient to begin 0-3. Seattle is definitely able to successful and doubtless deserves to be favored, however I’m wanting extra macro-level right here. Don’t ask me the way it occurs, however Mike Zimmer’s crew finds a method to get off the winless observe.
Vikings 22, Seahawks 20
– New York Jets at Denver Broncos (-10.5): Love somebody as a lot because the NFL’s schedule-makers love the Denver Broncos. That is the third recreation in a row to begin the season the place the Broncos face a group that shall be winless after Week 3. The sledding will get more durable in Week 4 with Baltimore, however till then, benefit from the fruits of a ridiculously favorable early-season schedule, Broncos followers…
Broncos 32, Jets 13
– Inexperienced Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5): Once I sat down to jot down this forecast, I had the Packers successful comfortably on the backs of the Aaron Rodgers-Davante Adams connection. The 49ers don’t have any reply for it, particularly with their injury-riddled secondary.
However then I contemplated the opposite offense vs. protection matchup, and I sense the Packers might be in actual bother right here. Their move rush doesn’t exist, interval. Their LBs aren’t dangerous however they’re not able to screwing up what Kyle Shanahan’s numerous offense desires to do until they get some assist.
So now I’m genuinely conflicted. I could make compelling arguments for both group to win. Then there’s the X issue: It’s Inexperienced Bay in prime time. Even on the street, count on not less than one outrageously bogus, unfair name to go their approach at a juncture the place it provides its largest optimistic profit to the Packers. Show me flawed, NFL…
Packers 28, 49ers 26
Monday Evening
Eagles at Cowboys (-4): Lastly we get a compelling NFC East matchup that ought to have interaction viewers. It’s been a short while. My cash is on Dak Prescott and his merry band of gifted pass-catchers to take advantage of some holes within the Eagles protection, greater than what Jalen Hurts and the Philly offense can do to Dallas’ personal woeful again 7. I’m additionally wanting ahead to seeing the evolution of Tony Pollard over Ezekiel Elliott as the highest Cowboys RB proceed, and the way exhausting it is going to be for some Dallas followers to reconcile it.
Cowboys 34, Eagles 28
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