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What have you learnt, we had one other wild week within the NFL (and every day fantasy soccer)! Kansas Metropolis and Tampa Bay every misplaced, Denver and Carolina continued their undefeated begins, and Jason Tucker prolonged the document for longest subject purpose of all time to 66 yards. We’re two sentences in, and I’m already sweating! Let’s maintain the insanity going and leap into Week 4 of our DFS values and sleeper picks!
Should you’re a fan of DFS, otherwise you identical to to seek out an edge or angle with all of your football-related bets, this column will probably be up your alley all season. Every week, I scour the participant swimming pools on DraftKings and FanDuel, and compile an inventory of sleepers and/or worth picks that will help you win some chilly, laborious money. The extra worth gamers you add, the extra money you’ll have left for confirmed weekly studs at different roster spots.
MORE WEEK 4 DFS: Best stacks | Lineup Builder
Should you learn this column forward of Week 3, you’d have benefited from our recommendation to plug a plethora of low-cost, high-value gamers into your DFS lineups. Right here’s a brief checklist of a few of our hits from final week, together with every participant’s DraftKings value and ultimate PPR output:
- Daniel Jones ($5,800): 16.54 fantasy factors
- Chase Edmonds ($5,700): 14.5
- Mike Davis ($5,200): 11
- Cardinals D/ST ($3,000): 17
Should you drafted any of those cost-efficient alternatives final week, you’d have benefited from good, low-cost manufacturing and afforded your self an additional stud or two elsewhere. Getting essentially the most bang on your buck has all the time been the secret in DFS, so it’s essential to do your due diligence earlier than setting up lineups. Go away the deep-diving to us — we’re right here for you from the primary kickoff via the final play of the 2021 NFL season.
With out additional ado, let’s leap proper into Week 4!
All participant values are from DraftKings and FanDuel. All stats are from NFL.com and Professional Soccer Reference.
WEEK 4 DFS LINEUPS: DraftKings | FanDuel | Yahoo
NFL DFS Picks Week 4: QB sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Aaron Rodgers, Packers vs. Steelers (DK: $6,800 | FD: $7,600)
After all, Rodgers won’t ever be thought of a “sleeper” for the remainder of his life, however he actually seems to be like a worth at $6,800. The Steelers haven’t regarded proper from high to backside this season — Huge Ben is over the hill, high receiver Diontae Johnson (knee) is damage, and rookie Najee Harris has an excessive amount of on his plate. The most important concern for Steelers Nation? Their protection has been horrible. A-Rod has been torching opponents in prime time within the two weeks since his abominable season-opener in opposition to the Saints. Look out under, Pittsburgh followers, you’re about to get Lambeaued by the fifth-best QB of all time. At QB, I’d somewhat spend $6,800 on assured manufacturing within the 20s than throw up a prayer for double-digits at $5,500.
Teddy Bridgewater, Broncos vs. Ravens (DK worth: $5,700 | FD: $6,800)
Bridgewater has turn out to be a favourite of this column, as he stays environment friendly and has Denver enjoying impressed (and undefeated) soccer. Now, he didn’t discover anybody ultimately zone within the Broncos’ win over the Jets final week, however that’s largely as a result of recreation script didn’t name for it. The Jets waved the white flag early in Mile Excessive, and Denver’s operating again tandem ran to their hearts’ content material. (Significantly, I do not know the place these friggin’ idioms come from). Properly, Teddy B added 235 yards to his banner 12 months, and he’s nonetheless but to throw an interception (knock on wooden for those who’re with me). Sport script ought to dictate a little bit of an air present in opposition to Baltimore, which is able to pack a a lot greater punch than any of Denver’s first three opponents this season. I don’t suppose Bridgewater may have a highlight-reel day, however I do suppose he places up 18-plus factors. At $5,700, that’s a ground try to be keen to just accept.
Matt Ryan, Falcons vs. WFT (DK: $5,000 | FD: $6,700)
If not now, then when? Matty Ice attracts a Washington protection that has been extraordinarily underwhelming following its 2020 run because the fourth-best scoring protection. Buffalo QB Josh Allen had a get-right recreation in opposition to WFT final week, throwing for 358 yards and 4 touchdowns. Now, it’s Ryan’s time to shine. Ron Rivera’s squad is reeling, much more so than the 1-2 Falcons. Ryan hasn’t even been that unhealthy — the 2016 MVP has exceeded 75-percent completion charges his previous two video games, has a 300-yard outing and two multi-TD video games, and his QB score was 111.2 in Atlanta’s win over a feisty Giants protection final week. Pile onto DC’s distress, Matty.
WEEK 4 PPR RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker
NFL DFS Picks Week 4: RB sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Jonathan Taylor, Colts at Dolphins (DK: $6,300 | FD: $6,600)
Right here’s one other man who doesn’t qualify as a sleeper, however he completely qualifies as a worth. JT has not precisely introduced attractive again this season, as he’s failed to achieve 65 yards dashing in a recreation, and he’s but to interrupt the aircraft on the bottom or via the air. His QB, Carson Wentz, has been coping with two bum ankles and an o-line that seemingly endures extra accidents every week. For these causes, the second-year again’s weekly value on DraftKings has dropped from $8K to $7,200 to $6,700 and now $6,300. There are many causes for optimism for those who’re a Taylor truther, although, and there’s loads of upside at these costs. For starters, I traded him away in my fundamental fantasy league, so he’s a lock to blow up nearly instantly. Additionally, Miami has struggled to include the run, rating twenty seventh in opposition to backs in PPR codecs. Lastly, I anticipate a bunch of dump-offs, attracts, and screens this week. With Wentz not at one hundred pc and offensive deal with Quenton Nelson assuredly out with an ankle harm of his personal, what else does Indy have? Second-year receiver Michael Pittman is nice, however Wentz missed him vast open a number of occasions final week. T.Y. Hilton is probably going nonetheless out with a neck harm. I’m not fearful about Nyheim Hynes — Taylor’s the person, and he would possibly simply go off this week.
Antonio Gibson, Washington Soccer Group at Falcons (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,100)
Right here’s one other certainly one of my “ride-or-die” guys. Gibson has huge expertise and a ceiling large enough to include the Rockefeller Heart Christmas tree, however WFT’s roster has crumbled round him since QB Ryan Fitzpatrick’s unlucky Week 1 hip harm. However the present should go on for the second-year again, and his explosiveness makes him properly price a $6,100 funding in opposition to a perennial dumpster hearth of a protection like Atlanta. Gibson bought bottled up on the bottom in opposition to a motivated Payments squad final week, however he took a display cross 73 yards to the home to make up for it. Gibson continues to enhance as an NFL runner — he’s nonetheless just a few years faraway from enjoying vast receiver — and he’s a buy-low man in nearly each format conceivable. (I’d most likely commerce my mother-in-law’s Prius for him in my dynasty league. It will be definitely worth the rigidity.)
Zack Moss, Payments vs. Texans (DK: $5,300 | FD: $6,000)
Similar to final 12 months, Payments head coach Sean McDermott and offensive coordinator Brian Daboll appear to be realizing that Moss is a greater operating again than Devin Singletary. Fortunately for DFS members, Buffalo’s shift in backfield workloads final week has not coincided with a significant hike in Moss’s prices. The second-year again rushed 13 occasions for 60 yards in opposition to WFT, and he caught all three of his targets for 31 yards and a landing. Now he will get to assist beat up on the lowly Texans, who’ve allowed eight dashing scores in three video games (second most within the NFL) and 273 yards on the bottom over the previous two weeks. Collect that Moss.
WEEK 4 STANDARD RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker
NFL DFS Picks Week 4: WR sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Courtland Sutton, Broncos (DK: $5,700 | FD: $6,300) and Marquise Brown, Ravens (DK: $5,400 | FD: $6,400)
I doubled up right here, because the Broncos host the Ravens in what must be a high-scoring affair. Sutton had an explosive Week 2 (catching 9-of-12 targets for 159 yards), however recreation script introduced him again to Earth in Denver’s Week 3 laugher at dwelling over the Jets. Properly, the Ravens deliver far more offensive competitors into city, however their secondary has extra holes than normal. Baltimore ranks twenty sixth in factors allowed and, unbelievably, thirtieth in passing yards surrendered. With Sutton enjoying so effectively (75-percent catch fee) and garnering 20-25 % of Teddy B’s targets, he’s an incredible begin in a recreation projected at 45 complete factors.
On the opposite facet, Marquise “Hollywood” Brown stays the highest downfield risk for the Ravens. Denver’s D has been surprisingly good this season, however it hasn’t confronted anyone with the pace or playmaking means of Hollywood. By three weeks, Brown has 15 catches on 23 targets, 235 yards, and two scores. He has averaged 15.7 yards per catch and 78.3 receiving yards per recreation, and he sees the sphere for almost 70 % of Baltimore’s offensive snaps. Huge issues will probably be poppin’ for these two younger receivers Sunday.
Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers vs. Seahawks (DK: $5,000 | FD: $5,700)
Don’t look now, however Aiyuk is again. Aspect notice: why do we are saying “don’t look now” once we need somebody’s consideration? Shouldn’t it’s “look out now,” as a substitute? I’m going with that any longer. Look out now, readers, Aiyuk is again! After lulling his fantasy house owners to sleep in Weeks 1 and a pair of with one catch on two complete targets and an offensive snap proportion only a hair over 50 %, Aiyuk got here alive on Sunday Evening Soccer in opposition to Inexperienced Bay. The second-year wideout had 4 catches on six targets for 37 yards and a TD, and most essential, he noticed the sphere for 86 % of San Francisco’s offensive performs. I knew Aiyuk would explode onto the scene this weekend after I traded him away in two completely different fantasy leagues. Reverse jinxer, for the win! The Seahawks stay one of many extra beneficiant defenses to vast receivers in fantasy.
A.J. Inexperienced, Cardinals at Jaguars (DK: $4,500 | FD: $5,600)
Fast, everybody, seize Inexperienced earlier than DraftKings and FanDuel understand he’s good once more! Early-season MVP candidate Kyler Murray regarded Inexperienced’s manner six occasions over the weekend, and the seven-time Professional Bowler pulled in 5 catches for 112 yards. With DeAndre Hopkins (ribs) banged up and rookie Rondale Moore extra of an occasional dwelling run hitter, Inexperienced ought to proceed to see a stead workload. With Hopkins possible drawing protection from Jalen Ramsey — and the books itemizing the over/beneath for this one at 54.5 (with an implied complete of 24 factors for Arizona) — Inexperienced at $4,500 seems like a no brainer.
NFL DFS Picks Week 4: TE sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Logan Thomas, Washington Soccer Group at Falcons (DK: $4,900 | FD: $5,800)
I’m bullish on my favourite tight ends like I’m bullish on my favourite penny shares. That is the week, fellow Tom-boys! Not a lot has gone WFT’s manner this season, however not less than Taylor Heinicke appears to be growing chemistry with Thomas. Heinicke regarded his tight finish’s manner 4 occasions in Week 3, resulting in 42 yards and a rating in Washington’s 43-21 drubbing by the hands of Buffalo. This weekend’s tilt in Atlanta ought to equally yield a bunch of factors, so hearth up LT82 at these modest prices with out hesitation. The Falcons rank twenty seventh in fantasy factors allowed to tight ends.
Pat Freiermuth, Steelers at Packers (DK: $3,100 | FD: $5,000)
Do you consider within the energy of the ‘Muth? The Penn State product’s robust play has successfully dismissed Eric Ebron from Pittsburgh’s offense, and but the rookie will be drafted for $200 lower than the veteran on DraftKings. How? Freiermuth grabbed three of his 5 targets final week, certainly one of which landed him ultimately zone. Ebron caught none of his three targets. Case closed. Even higher, Ben Roethlisberger’s struggles to throw the deep ball play proper into the younger tight finish’s palms. Everyone will probably be smash-playing rookie Najee Harris after his redonkulous 19 targets in opposition to Cincy final week (Harris caught 14 for 102, after all, as a result of I traded him final week). I’ve a sneaking suspicion Inexperienced Bay will monitor Harris higher, presumably releasing up the ‘Muth-man. Just one staff has surrendered extra fantasy factors to the tight finish place than the Packers. To my two PSU cousins: Please don’t inform Mr. Freiermuth about this column.
NFL DFS Picks Week 4: D/ST sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins (DK: $2,700 | FD: $4,600)
After a terrific 2020 marketing campaign, the Colts protection sat close to the highest of many fantasy analysts’ sleepers lists this preseason. They’ve began off 2021 in disappointing trend, with simply 22 fantasy factors via three weeks. Fret not, Indy house owners, you’re going to South Seashore this week! The Dolphins offense beneath Jacoby Brisset yields far more alternative for defensive factors than the Colts’ earlier three opponents (Seahawks, Rams, and Titans). Give me Indy’s D/ST on a budget.
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