Forecasting the end result of every NFL Week 4 sport



Final week: 13-3. The season forecast is a a lot sunnier 31-17 by means of three weeks 

All strains are from BetOnline as of 4:50 p.m. ET on 9/29

Sunday Video games

– Cleveland Browns at Minnesota Vikings (+1.5): Browns coach Kevin Stefanski returns to Minnesota, the place he served because the Vikings’ OC earlier than taking his skills to Cleveland. His well-rounded Browns have but to completely put all of it collectively in a single sport but, regardless of what the 26-6 romp over the Bears final week may point out. That was Baker Mayfield’s worst sport in a while. The actual fact the Browns nonetheless destroyed a stable protection when the QB and the star RB, Nick Chubb, every solely had their “B” video games is a testomony to how gifted Cleveland is and the way good of a coach Stefanski has emerged as in such a short while. The Vikings second-half stunner in Seattle in Week 3 can’t be ignored, however they’ll have to play the complete 60 minutes higher to drag this one off.  

Browns 33, Vikings 27

– Washington Soccer Crew at Atlanta Falcons (+1.5): I’m about as excited for the brand new Limp Bizkit music as I’m for the soccer Xs and Os right here. Washington has quietly been a disappointment by means of three weeks, virtually as a lot as Fred Durst have to be to precise singers. Matt Ryan will get Rollin’ on this one. Taylor Heinicke, Present Me What You Bought!

Falcons 34, Soccer Crew 30

– Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys (-5): Two first-place groups who bought there with fairly divergent paths at all times makes for a compelling matchup. Dallas brings Dak Prescott and a bevy of neatly used weapons towards Carolina’s speedy, disciplined protection in energy vs. energy. The Panthers are No. 1 in yards allowed and No. 2 in factors allowed per sport. They’re additionally the very best in yards-per-carry (2.6) and at getting off the sphere on third downs. And it’s these two metrics the place Carolina should thrive towards Prescott, Zeke Elliott, CeeDee Lamb and the Dallas assault.  

That is the primary actual problem for the Panthers protection, which has feasted on creampuffs HOU and NYJ in addition to New Orleans’ weird week of not likely making an attempt. And for Sam Darnold and the Carolina offense to attempt to sustain with out having Christian McCaffrey, it simply looks as if the incredible begin for the unbeaten Panthers is because of run its course right here. 

Cowboys 22, Panthers 17

– Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-4.5): Two undefeated groups in the identical division this late within the season (sure, Week 4 is extraordinarily late for this circumstance) guarantees to be an intense matchup. And it options two of the three prime scoring offenses within the league besides. 

Three the reason why I just like the Rams to remain unbeaten:

–They’ve the higher run protection

–Matthew Stafford is seeing the sphere so very nicely at QB for Los Angeles

–The Rams keep away from penalties extremely nicely

Should you’ve bought the flexibility to look at this one, do it. Must be among the best video games of the primary month of the season and it comes with one-tenth the hype of the Sunday evening sport. 

Rams 28, Cardinals 27

– Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-2.5): Whereas the Cardinals and Rams play atop the division, this matchup of the “others” within the NFC West additionally options two groups which can be legit playoff contenders. The loser right here will fall to the underside, no less than two full video games and a divisional tiebreaker behind the chief (three if it’s the Seahawks).  

I’ll be sincere — I don’t know what to make of Seattle. No group has given up extra yards than the Seahawks, and their protection isn’t actually good at something. They don’t stuff the run, they don’t cowl all that nicely, they don’t deliver constant cross rush and so they don’t create takeaways or offensive errors. There are too many gifted gamers on that protection for that to persist, however making an attempt to get wholesome towards Kyle Shanahan’s offense in San Francisco is a tall order.  

49ers 30, Seahawks 24

– Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos (-1.5): The Ravens ought to have each Rashod Bateman and Miles Boykin at large receiver for this one. They might be precisely what Lamar Jackson wants to actually get the Ravens rolling. His receiving corps has not performed nicely sufficient, and so they lack guys with dimension and energy. In opposition to the neatly coached Broncos protection, they want no matter assist they’ll get. Only a hunch, however I really feel one thing of a get-right sport for Baltimore right here. Denver won’t make it straightforward. 

Ravens 27, Broncos 20

– Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-2.5): If the Lions from Week 3 and the Bears from Week 3 each present up in Chicago, the Lions not solely decide up their first win of the Dan Campbell period, they blow out the Bears. The transfer to get speedier but in addition smarter on protection (virtually) paid off for Detroit towards Baltimore, and it’ll work nicely towards a plodding Bears OL and an uncoordinated offense.

I’m undecided the Lions will do a lot towards the Bears protection, which may nonetheless deliver it up back and front it up with rising expertise behind them. I’m additionally undecided Jared Goff might want to do greater than play his customary one respectable half to guide the Lions to the win right here.  

Lions 20, Bears 13

– Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins (-1.5): Generally the forecast adjustments within the manufacturing course of. After I first sat down and outlined this week’s meteorology, I had the Dolphins successful. However the clouds in my mind modified formation, and it led me to change the forecast right here to select the Colts. I can’t clarify why; Miami is the higher group and enjoying at residence in a time of yr when the South Florida climate offers them a definite benefit. Contemplate this the bottom confidence prediction of your entire forecast…

Colts 20, Dolphins 17

– Tennessee Titans at New York Jets (+7): Don’t overestimate the Titans right here. Julio Jones and A.J. Brown are each out. Then once more, the woeful Jets shall be with out each common beginning safeties — who occur to be the 2 finest gamers on their protection. On second thought, roll with Tennessee as your survivor fantasy group of the week if you happen to haven’t used the Titans already. 

Titans 26, Jets 12

– Kansas Metropolis Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles (+7.5): Should you would have instructed Eagles followers that they’d enter Week 4 with the identical report because the visiting Chiefs, 99 out of 100 would have taken you up on that. Effectively, it occurred. Each groups are 1-2, not one thing many anticipated from the two-time defending AFC champs from Kansas Metropolis. I’ve a tough time shaking simply how simply the Cowboys protection shut down Philadelphia on Monday evening. No offense to Dallas supposed, however that protection shouldn’t ever look that good. The Chiefs have defensive woes of their very own but when Dallas can do it, so can the Chiefs — particularly with the Eagles on a brief week. Anticipate greater than three designed runs from the Philly offense. Don’t anticipate them to do a lot with them. 

Chiefs 37, Eagles 22

– New York Giants at New Orleans Saints (-7.5): The Saints have been all around the map of their first three post-Brees weeks. The Giants seem caught within the winless doldrums, south of heaven in one other season from the abyss. Don’t anticipate them to slay the inconsistent Saints in New Orleans. 

Saints 29, Giants 17

– Houston Texans at Buffalo Payments (-16.5): Man that’s quite a lot of factors to present, even at residence. That’s the one factor I can consider with this sport. The Texans aren’t that dangerous and the Payments haven’t been that nice, not constantly anyway by means of the primary three weeks. 

Payments 33, Texans 21

– Pittsburgh Steelers at Inexperienced Bay Packers (-7.5): Dangerous, dangerous time for the Steelers to go to Inexperienced Bay. The Packers simply performed the same defensive scheme in San Francisco and did nicely towards it. They received’t have to vary up a lot to prep for Pittsburgh. I just like the progress of the children within the Inexperienced Bay secondary, too; they may have discovered one thing in Eric Stokes. If Ben Roethlisberger may even try and attempt to throw the ball greater than 12 yards down the sphere, Stokes may very nicely make him pay. 

Packers 28, Steelers 9

– Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots (+7): I refuse to feed the hype machine. Should you ignore the beaten-to-death angle of Brady returning to face Belichick, this actually isn’t a really compelling matchup. Powerful to see New England discovering a lot success towards the Bucs protection with out James White within the backfield. Benefit from the spectacle and the overkill about Brady, who will set the NFL’s all-time passing yardage mark someday within the first quarter. The sport most likely received’t be a lot of a contest.

Buccaneers 31, Patriots 14

Monday Evening

Raiders at Chargers (-3.5): One of many craziest statistical anomalies I can recall popped up for this sport. That is the primary time since 2002 these two AFC West rivals have met the place each groups deliver successful information into the sport. Take into consideration that for a second. That’s 20 seasons, 40 video games! That alone is cause sufficient to remain up late on Monday to see how this one performs out. Brew an additional pot of espresso and cope with the grumpy Tuesday morning.

Chargers 24, Raiders 20 




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